Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.351245 0.409586 0.474792 0.553114 0.644703 0.748502 0.875191
2025-01-19 0.258242 0.334353 0.428852 0.555013 0.719396 0.926832 1.209314
2025-01-26 0.219264 0.304969 0.419336 0.583559 0.814157 1.127690 1.588569
2025-02-02 0.192591 0.283942 0.413216 0.610235 0.904378 1.329608 1.995369
2025-02-09 0.170404 0.264161 0.403732 0.627686 0.980299 1.517957 2.407324
2025-02-16 0.150368 0.243721 0.389088 0.633296 1.036493 1.681300 2.801856
2025-02-23 0.132265 0.223206 0.370707 0.629053 1.074422 1.818316 3.170713
2025-03-02 0.114772 0.200962 0.346074 0.610141 1.083801 1.907237 3.467841
2025-03-09 0.106134 0.192470 0.343082 0.627337 1.156905 2.113444 4.000087
2025-03-16 0.096413 0.180646 0.332530 0.629116 1.201591 2.273353 4.467895
2025-03-23 0.089383 0.172760 0.327917 0.640901 1.265841 2.476645 5.046517
2025-03-30 0.080475 0.160126 0.312783 0.630238 1.284563 2.593785 5.468010
2025-04-06 0.072948 0.149452 0.300488 0.624360 1.313660 2.738486 5.975345
2025-04-13 0.067138 0.141542 0.292767 0.626964 1.361024 2.927792 6.609270
2025-04-20 0.064780 0.140478 0.298811 0.659291 1.476172 3.275951 7.648973
2025-04-27 0.062366 0.138961 0.303651 0.689515 1.590628 3.637803 8.775746
2025-05-04 0.059269 0.135526 0.303873 0.709290 1.683777 3.963771 9.867148
2025-05-11 0.055444 0.129951 0.298628 0.715648 1.746083 4.225926 10.841648
2025-05-18 0.051224 0.122931 0.289228 0.710840 1.780579 4.425677 11.688189
2025-05-25 0.046375 0.113820 0.273852 0.689409 1.770710 4.514307 12.256975
2025-06-01 0.044445 0.111611 0.274755 0.708894 1.868115 4.888320 13.655419
2025-06-08 0.041682 0.106979 0.269154 0.710911 1.919905 5.150442 14.784538
2025-06-15 0.039743 0.104222 0.267926 0.724266 2.004025 5.510419 16.250970